WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc78a8dd6df928b4e9b43c8fd34c9ca2308059b1283710e5599bb56a9d995f76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,876$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.52 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 517.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 71c | 408.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 54c | 369.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 348.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 346.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 327.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 60c | 314.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Under | 59c | 292.75$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 41c | 292.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 234$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Under | 60c | 167.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 41c | 157.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 8c | 145.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 138.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 20c | 137.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 122.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 59c | 120.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 77c | 99.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 47c | 96.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 49c | 96.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 81.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Under | 48c | 81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 70.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 42c | 66.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 57c | 63.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 46c | 59.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…3acdbacked Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 22c | 52.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 64c | 48.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 40c | 47.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 42c | 45.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 60c | 42.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 41c | 39.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 42c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 43c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 60c | 30.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 62c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 29.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Under | 56c | 28.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 64c | 27.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 26.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 57c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 66c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.