TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over51c54,144$27,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,659.710749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c16,200$8,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,018.971,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c5,976$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.2923245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c5,387$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.4638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c5,228$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.9489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005558.2%32 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c4,730$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.6119446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c4,521$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.9783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c4,520$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,26024347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c3,583$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.0817946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c2,990$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.7631043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c2,945$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.2446247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under49c2,000$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9755541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c1,949$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.4474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c1,262$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over49c1,212$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2229654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c1,136$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.8999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under46c820.54$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c800$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4043342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over49c763.32$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.661952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under50c715$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.513649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Under43c700.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over61c675$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.723158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28811250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.915746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under49c482.35$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8214345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under23c471.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0134726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under53c416$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.487138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c389$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.511156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x179b…2b82backed Over67c373.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c350.23$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.831,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Over67c300.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.261752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under51c276.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1232750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under15c253.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.399827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under34c213.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.738836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under37c204$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1250646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under53c203$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5913742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1033959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under36c191.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9932150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over78c176.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.546467.2%43 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c163$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.516450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under41c143.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7330347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Under50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c101$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5112751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5139947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Under53c98.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under50c96.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.114452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under53c94.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under50c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over55c89.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.737945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c84.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under29c82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under52c80.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under39c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1810454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under50c71.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.98748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under50c62.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.078850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3078548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under33c55.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3834753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over72c54.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.963357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Under50c53.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under30c51.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2937650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e10…d25bbacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…18a2backed Over50c49.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Over51c48.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under51c46.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.823746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under51c42.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0114450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under50c40.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1942649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4221150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Under50c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Over49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under52c38.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4923955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over49c36.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.487147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67d…6be7backed Over60c33.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.361275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over50c31.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under40c29.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6619245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over68c28.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.038556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under51c26.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.383063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…9c36backed Over50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over71c25.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3319257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under51c24.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2815748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under46c23.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8912661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over61c22.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8625246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over48c22.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.487248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.