Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Arthur Weber vs Florent Bax
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc37ef5937756154337e69691f4d8dea79a8c71980b76689b3dc02bd063ab837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florent Baxof Arthur Weber, Florent Bax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Weber | 13c | 22,440$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Arthur Weber | 21c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Arthur Weber | 11c | 1,749$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Arthur Weber | 16c | 1,571$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Arthur Weber | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Weber | 8c | 1,189$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Arthur Weber | 15c | 1,034$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Weber | 20c | 607.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Arthur Weber | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Florent Bax | 68c | 553.85$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Arthur Weber | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Arthur Weber | 13c | 346.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arthur Weber | 9c | 334.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Arthur Weber | 26c | 306.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Florent Bax | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Arthur Weber | 12c | 266.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Arthur Weber | 18c | 226.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Weber | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arthur Weber | 10c | 207.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Arthur Weber | 16c | 205.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Florent Bax | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arthur Weber | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Arthur Weber | 18c | 188.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Florent Bax | 70c | 164.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed Arthur Weber | 21c | 151.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Arthur Weber | 18c | 137.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Arthur Weber | 18c | 120.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Arthur Weber | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Arthur Weber | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -17.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Arthur Weber | 20c | 82.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Arthur Weber | 18c | 66.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Florent Bax | 75c | 66.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Florent Bax | 73c | 54.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Arthur Weber | 25c | 52.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Arthur Weber | 32c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Arthur Weber | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Arthur Weber | 28c | 36.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Florent Bax | 75c | 35.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Florent Bax | 74c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Florent Bax | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Florent Bax | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Florent Bax | 71c | 22.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Florent Bax | 74c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Florent Bax | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Florent Bax | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.