Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e3e4e6ca3332c979999a68af913b43fe457a21319723d4f01fd423ac9727e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 28c | 28,423$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 75c | 10,107$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.76 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 10,068$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.53 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed No | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 79c | 7,766$6,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.95 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 19c | 5,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 5,279$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.55 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 4,023$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 21c | 2,211$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.22 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 1,697$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 1,672$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked No | 19c | 1,600$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +389%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 1,284$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 1,198$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.75 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 74c | 1,119$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…4614backed Yes | 22c | 454.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 25c | 452.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 25c | 382.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 380.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked No | 74c | 332.79$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 330.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 323.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 24c | 256.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 235.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 75c | 226.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 210.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…80cebacked No | 17c | 183.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 179.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 163.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 57c | 161.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…7c65backed Yes | 22c | 124.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 25c | 118.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes | 21c | 118.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 23.1%50 W · 166 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 31c | 98.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 74c | 88.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 75c | 79.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…25eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 76c | 75.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 78c | 64.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 20c | 59.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…dda2backed Yes | 25c | 53.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 45.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked No | 76c | 31.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed No | 74c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to win the second half?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- Norway vs. England: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.