Fifa International · resolved market
England to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf672278193fb4bf79d32f2601ef8a9ed4979a79b848f5f35090e8b4f839bc822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 6,358$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 1,872$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 1,691$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.05 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 55c | 1,593$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 55c | 1,142$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 51c | 1,120$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.08 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 36c | 886.5$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.46 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 45c | 848.48$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.28 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 827.6$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.05 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 792.39$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 51c | 568.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.03 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Yes | 50c | 429.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 414.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 49c | 370.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 54c | 366.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 44c | 347.36$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 327.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 235.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 55c | 229.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…2cbdbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 43c | 210.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Yes | 49c | 205.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 51c | 191$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 54c | 142.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 46c | 140.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 51c | 124$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 47c | 118.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…f019backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 110.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 55c | 91.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 86.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 51c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 82.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 61c | 81.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 54c | 75.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 52c | 73.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 50c | 70.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 52c | 59.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 45.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 45c | 44.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9203…169fbacked No | 53c | 40.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 53c | 40.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 55c | 32.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 52c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 55c | 27.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 51c | 24.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed No | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4807…cadbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to win the second half?this page
- Norway to win the second half?No won
- Norway vs. England: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.