Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. England: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3aed3d80d4d929c9c481f25ffb85309c24fcc405824d4f57acb84a22c591ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 2,026$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,071$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.55 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 68c | 1,009$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.33 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 30c | 944.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.81 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 35c | 792.39$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 70c | 622$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b575backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Yes | 32c | 400.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.64 | 335 | 48.4%162 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Yes | 77c | 389.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 66c | 370$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 67c | 333.23$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…9800backed Yes | 32c | 314.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 166.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 151.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Yes | 33c | 125$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 124$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 67c | 117.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 79.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 78.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 77.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 68c | 75.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Yes | 32c | 75.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 32c | 67.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 45.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 27c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb359…9b26backed Yes | 77c | 37.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 33c | 31.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 66c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. England: Second half draw?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- Norway to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.