Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41658dc3505a3c18ff0ccd05b267052f288b410351d8429ff7659e6882cfa384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Igor Ribeiro Marcondesof Alvaro Guillen Meza, Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 5c | 4,008$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 11c | 3,067$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 14c | 2,838$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.98 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 34c | 786.5$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 764.37$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 74c | 540.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 15c | 262.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 26c | 258.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 74c | 205.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 32c | 183.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 32c | 125.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 16c | 118.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 67c | 103.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 20c | 101.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 23c | 72.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 71c | 72.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 28c | 71.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 71c | 56.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 73c | 39.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…aa34backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 69c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 69c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.