Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38837354d63a13a8b8707988d10343c0b7c0bb4ed6b2208a1167cd134250fe2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,144,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,003,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,144,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 819 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4db9…8339backed Yes | 7c | 124,927$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 16c | 94,799$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 32c | 75,777$23,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,898.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…2c89backed Yes | 21c | 69,232$14,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,644.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 30c | 52,191$15,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,854.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 21c | 45,366$9,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,519.23 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 20c | 37,565$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1d43backed Yes | 30c | 30,310$9,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,092.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…1272backed Yes | 0c | 28,706$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…eed6backed No | 72c | 28,262$20,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5009…ca47backed Yes | 3c | 27,614$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 22c | 26,754$5,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.62 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 22c | 23,013$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.24 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 31c | 21,330$6,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,714.45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…c5febacked Yes | 1c | 19,460$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…3816backed Yes | 0c | 16,839$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 75c | 16,476$12,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.05 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 68c | 15,770$10,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 67c | 15,600$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Yes | 12c | 15,000$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 73c | 14,472$10,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 26c | 13,883$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 3c | 13,243$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 36c | 12,699$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 12c | 12,055$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…bbf3backed Yes | 35c | 11,371$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…8c6cbacked Yes | 33c | 11,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2870backed No | 80c | 11,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 17c | 10,680$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Yes | 2c | 10,662$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…c80fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 5c | 9,990$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 31c | 9,899$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.73 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 8c | 9,656$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…2605backed Yes | 21c | 9,524$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 32c | 9,092$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.89 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 19c | 8,945$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 21c | 8,518$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 31c | 8,362$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 32c | 8,229$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed No | 69c | 7,868$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 32c | 7,500$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Yes | 33c | 7,248$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 3c | 7,172$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 7,000$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.98 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 17c | 6,516$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.75 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 76c | 6,345$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 32c | 6,319$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 25c | 6,307$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 31c | 6,158$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.7 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 5,900$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.97 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…13f8backed Yes | 28c | 5,738$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…0de6backed Yes | 23c | 5,648$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…aa84backed Yes | 34c | 5,616$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 72c | 5,441$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…fd79backed No | 68c | 5,419$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108b…ecdabacked Yes | 18c | 5,385$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Yes | 1c | 5,322$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 29c | 5,208$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Yes | 3c | 5,100$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…215dbacked Yes | 36c | 5,067$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 40c | 5,014$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…1905backed Yes | 12c | 4,831$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…12dfbacked Yes | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…0035backed Yes | 15c | 4,663$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 78c | 4,290$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.44 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 35c | 4,108$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.43 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 26c | 4,056$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.37 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 32c | 4,017$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 68c | 4,000$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67b…3ec6backed Yes | 7c | 3,845$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,787$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 79c | 3,755$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 8c | 3,729$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…4b86backed Yes | 29c | 3,715$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,711$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 20c | 3,689$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 3,570$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.56 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 33c | 3,497$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.88 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…6d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Yes | 1c | 3,385$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,350$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 19c | 3,146$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.69 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 71c | 3,064$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.61 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 25c | 3,064$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…2c73backed Yes | 15c | 3,015$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +103%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 2,990$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.45 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,944$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c2…7a21backed Yes | 32c | 2,944$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…0f76backed Yes | 4c | 2,823$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +554%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 37c | 2,815$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.71 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…01f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,667$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?this page
- Will Beto O'Rourke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No won
- Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No won
- Will Emily Morgul be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No won
- Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes won
- Will Michael Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.