TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. England: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof France, England
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b77…f057backed France1c2,717$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b2…e24dbacked France1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…f836backed England48c684.43$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.543020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…55e5backed England38c499.97$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.984837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed France59c408.75$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.164235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed France34c368.14$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…3272backed England42c324.52$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.22933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9984…91e3backed France53c302.87$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed France57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17118448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France62c255$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.61,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed England41c245.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3616935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed France53c223.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11818436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed England43c222.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4838329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked France49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked France56c195.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked England42c185.61$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.163,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed France62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England43c114.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a01…6cffbacked England44c114.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.526338.1%24 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a7…127bbacked France13c111.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.564119.5%8 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked England44c102.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.042,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…e028backed England42c99.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.047335.6%26 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203f…521ebacked England40c82.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.03258%2 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-84%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked France62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505354.7%29 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed France48c60.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9231156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed England39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.523741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99b0…1d6bbacked France53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b1…5e42backed France60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb5…3238backed England43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed France55c44.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.282,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcafb…23ccbacked France57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaba…a787backed France59c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.315857.6%91 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed England42c41.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3540352.1%210 W · 193 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed France58c34.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe668…7a6bbacked France54c32.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+152.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed France62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb066…608ebacked France58c29.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed France58c28.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2619062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed England42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.517356.1%97 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f9…3453backed England40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed England42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed France56c24.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.727067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked France55c21.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9333555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked France61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.214242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49f…1120backed France62c19.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.