Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d294ccab4ff2f72964be1c1a3fa87103c45fb626da69d743916eba370d3c065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 64c | 3,844$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.92 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 36c | 3,173$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.42 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…8c2bbacked Over | 36c | 269.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 245.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Under | 77c | 190.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 23c | 90.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 48c | 81.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c1…c834backed Over | 36c | 77.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 43c | 74.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 71.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Under | 74c | 67.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 60c | 61.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 52.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…3238backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…9debbacked Under | 59c | 45.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 50c | 41.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…f422backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over | 48c | 40.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…5b70backed Over | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x456f…cd98backed Over | 58c | 34.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3076backed Over | 61c | 29.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Under | 64c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 64c | 28.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…0991backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…7b70backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…c44abacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: England O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. England: England O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. England: France O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. England: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- France vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.