Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe598184567862b95f971eb8480039b1d8c3f02a43f1a075b1f41411a45e2a8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 43c | 12,162$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 6,619$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.61 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 969.27$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 846$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3415backed Over | 55c | 715.8$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…5bf6backed Over | 55c | 537$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 497.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 55c | 496.72$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Over | 55c | 483.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 473.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 415.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Over | 55c | 398.18$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Over | 57c | 341.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 170.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Over | 57c | 158.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 150.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 58c | 58.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 54.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…cb32backed Over | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Over | 55c | 48.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 55c | 47.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Under | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…b1b9backed Under | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 53c | 41.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 38.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…d955backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…4e8ebacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…6973backed Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 57c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…80dbbacked Over | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: Odense BK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.