TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb93f…4160

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT9662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$637
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$603
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$309.09
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Canada (-2.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$284.97
Brittney Griner: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$339
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$363.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$217.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesexbacked Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$85.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsbacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: University of Mississippi vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.