TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Heilbronn: Daniel Galan vs Max Hans Rehberg

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Max Hans Rehbergof Daniel Galan, Max Hans Rehberg
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74bd…d371backed Daniel Galan7c1,339$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7142125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Max Hans Rehberg72c1,265$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.198,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Daniel Galan7c1,183$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb450…1c12backed Daniel Galan43c1,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Hans Rehberg70c1,100$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.974,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Daniel Galan38c1,080$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Max Hans Rehberg74c1,050$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.532,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Daniel Galan56c933.26$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6357842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Daniel Galan42c914.71$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6887337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Max Hans Rehberg44c746.59$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.091,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Max Hans Rehberg80c740.24$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.461,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Max Hans Rehberg61c706.55$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.418,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Daniel Galan32c606.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19296035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Daniel Galan5c537.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8956827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Daniel Galan57c517.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.831,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Daniel Galan21c417.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.032,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Max Hans Rehberg44c316.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Hans Rehberg66c269.16$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.28,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c7…668abacked Daniel Galan37c268.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Daniel Galan58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Max Hans Rehberg62c256.59$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6715570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Daniel Galan56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11258639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Max Hans Rehberg78c196.03$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.314,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Daniel Galan29c165.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Daniel Galan55c147.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.917,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9265…2cc0backed Max Hans Rehberg68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065775.4%43 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Galan27c146.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Max Hans Rehberg69c143.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.481,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Max Hans Rehberg65c135.2$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.322,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Max Hans Rehberg43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Max Hans Rehberg45c114.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.192,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Daniel Galan11c111$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5955941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa233…ee7ebacked Daniel Galan34c105.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.413237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Daniel Galan55c90.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0239254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Galan37c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.565,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055f…b363backed Daniel Galan57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Daniel Galan17c76.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2911735.9%42 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked Max Hans Rehberg71c66.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.385232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Max Hans Rehberg67c65.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6122567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Daniel Galan39c61.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Max Hans Rehberg65c58.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1791755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Max Hans Rehberg44c50.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.023,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Max Hans Rehberg58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Max Hans Rehberg71c48.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.093,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Max Hans Rehberg45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Daniel Galan55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2299249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Daniel Galan38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Max Hans Rehberg43c35.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Max Hans Rehberg71c23.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…4b98backed Max Hans Rehberg69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Max Hans Rehberg68c19.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2178350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Max Hans Rehberg72c19.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3938074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Max Hans Rehberg80c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0333673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.