TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9265…2cc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5775.4%43 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$54.13
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$100.3
Quito: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Ignacio Monzonbacked Ignacio Monzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$33.4
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Juan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Quito: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias Sotobacked Juan Sebastian Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47%+$46.99
Wimbledon WTA: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Mariam Bolkvadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Brasov: Max Alcala Gurri vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Luis Felipe Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Lina Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Bad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broombacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.56
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Luca Van Asschebacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brescia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Mayar Sherifbacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Remy Bertolabacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Brescia: Darya Astakhova vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguezbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.78
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Alicia Dudeney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+106.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$13,863.23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$39,439.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46,100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.