TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,575,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,841,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,575,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,080 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Yes61c300,800$182,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,069.997060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c177,225$59,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,973.331,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No40c153,127$61,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,250.937346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c138,385$88,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,492.1238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No38c108,243$40,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,908.787842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No40c107,864$43,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,067.114658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c52,700$12,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,385.3846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No38c41,685$15,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,841.062250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No33c36,836$12,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,019.054936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c35,903$13,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,057.5215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes65c35,237$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,236.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c31,770$7,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,082.3234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No37c26,052$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.948040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c24,502$11,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,556.0958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c20,790$7,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,308.548836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No36c20,667$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,440.18241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9610543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Yes62c18,276$11,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,959.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No27c17,647$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.177146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c17,448$6,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,259.9443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No6c17,226$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.2110850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d80…cd30backed Yes74c16,093$11,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7509348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No13c11,200$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.995466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes59c11,050$6,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.32035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No18c10,785$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.4738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes78c10,203$7,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.383256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No37c10,016$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6001855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No5c9,898$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.763619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes69c8,827$6,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2920343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes80c8,660$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.514153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No38c8,085$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.469857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c8,005$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03138935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked No40c8,000$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.9840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c7,957$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.31,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No14c7,856$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.8413232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71ad…4a01backed Yes73c7,756$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Yes66c7,531$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.931844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes71c6,857$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.683452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes60c6,667$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.673850%19 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9169…a2e3backed Yes68c6,485$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f3…9c25backed No32c6,477$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c51…ee64backed Yes60c6,417$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No5c6,282$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.31382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes58c6,255$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.16451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No36c6,191$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.914323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes59c6,072$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3404540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No30c5,500$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.4716349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Yes67c5,217$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.612445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes64c5,100$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8322462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes61c5,100$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.051127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x543c…edabbacked Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked No36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0202…e262backed Yes60c4,944$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.521145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No36c4,895$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.241421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No7c4,541$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.345444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No38c4,500$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.994944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes63c4,500$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.9812956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abb…452ebacked Yes67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+78%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes59c4,085$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed No34c3,701$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No15c3,430$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.783930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No34c3,365$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.081735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes62c3,306$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.813063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No14c3,181$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4220643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes64c3,113$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…b88abacked Yes69c3,022$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No18c3,000$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1412737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9902770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes62c3,000$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1283935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No34c2,900$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.288027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No30c2,851$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.749159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes61c2,794$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.6436851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.781844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No36c2,686$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9674235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes60c2,505$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.156533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ded…3423backed Yes64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes65c2,442$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.543348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414f…29a2backed Yes62c2,406$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes54c2,382$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.012254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1324…3931backed Yes53c2,377$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No6c2,319$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7510137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9722…e0e4backed Yes77c2,245$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No33c2,180$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.0233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…a6edbacked No37c2,176$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02d…2935backed Yes74c2,125$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes56c2,073$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.64143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No30c2,052$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.4620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes64c2,048$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Yes62c2,045$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8460…0c1fbacked No13c2,042$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.