Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31108bf0a3b33fa5bfa050bba8b1571470f5b44bb4b38a05011fe860bfc3d618
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf2c…910ebacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 8,957$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.82 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 14c | 3,975$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.78 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.69 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 1,983$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 1,498$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 1,316$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 26c | 1,176$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 12c | 1,122$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 1,033$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 21c | 887.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 13c | 588$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 21c | 519.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Yes | 23c | 433.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 424.75$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…a6efbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 27c | 373.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 79c | 355$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…0b40backed Yes | 18c | 318$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 16c | 300.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +8.6wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 16c | 287.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 8c | 197.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 15c | 189.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 15c | 185.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 25c | 182.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 18c | 162.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…ae39backed Yes | 14c | 122.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…182abacked Yes | 21c | 120.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 17c | 111.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 16c | 110.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 19c | 106.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…187ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…d099backed Yes | 21c | 72.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 79c | 69.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 23c | 54.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 54.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 21c | 51.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 76c | 48.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 28c | 36.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5223…29d9backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 79c | 17.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.