TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,428,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,805,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,428,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 8,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed No45c2,719,418$1,215,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215,103.172955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No42c799,995$335,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335,997.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes21c636,665$132,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504,299.061457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes11c436,591$46,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390,091.95911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes11c405,119$42,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362,348.5211916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes13c400,752$53,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347,641.883026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes56c339,602$191,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,598.415745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Yes56c280,000$156,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,099.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1887…678abacked Yes48c275,607$133,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,129.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed No45c237,048$107,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,322.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb8…c8e1backed Yes15c226,795$34,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,775.37650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes12c198,038$23,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,452.6129136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No41c186,731$76,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,976.826844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes9c186,290$17,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,023.732025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes11c184,822$20,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,799.3239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce9…9452backed Yes58c169,884$98,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,351.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes15c169,715$26,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,635.0413048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf0e…5c89backed Yes59c150,348$88,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,642.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes10c150,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,999.876048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes55c141,080$77,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,526.951643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes53c129,506$68,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,867.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc7d…b2adbacked Yes46c128,406$59,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,119.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No48c127,891$61,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,903.9613843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x165b…91babacked Yes47c126,402$59,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,080.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes55c125,431$68,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,443.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed Yes53c120,000$63,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,799.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No53c119,631$63,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,024.763652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes14c118,061$16,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,413.472626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes13c115,618$15,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,292.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+151.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes32c114,362$37,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,217.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes53c113,208$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,207.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes46c111,123$51,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,787.652520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes57c100,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No46c94,031$43,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,254.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No49c91,561$44,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,507.212429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Yes58c78,567$45,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,998.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes28c74,717$20,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,747.23237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes14c73,652$9,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,663.641136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+304.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes17c72,306$12,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,169.941540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No59c72,036$42,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,578.4128543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes53c71,889$38,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,708.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…e6b1backed Yes15c70,458$10,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,062.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+238.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Yes58c68,966$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,965.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes21c67,603$14,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,345.9211743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes20c66,104$13,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,709.93137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes55c65,656$35,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,728.244729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes58c65,413$37,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,473.672676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Yes58c65,136$37,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,357.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Yes54c64,450$34,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,649.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No44c63,107$27,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,589.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes33c61,158$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,158.12147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9265…2cc0backed Yes23c61,158$13,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,163.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+106.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes10c60,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,999.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes58c60,000$34,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e89…c03bbacked Yes58c53,760$31,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,579.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes28c53,476$15,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,245.863452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x603c…ac70backed Yes11c53,287$5,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,604.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+837.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes49c52,024$25,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,623.4227236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes53c51,663$27,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,281.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes53c50,700$26,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,8291735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes54c50,210$26,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,316.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes13c49,338$6,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,924.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes10c48,238$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,446.812516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes27c46,850$12,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,260.913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Yes58c46,463$26,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,514.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…fbd9backed Yes58c44,369$25,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,752.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c43,658$23,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,280.6787531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes47c40,660$19,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,520.75887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+75.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x792f…328abacked Yes57c39,000$22,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,7701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…a20dbacked Yes10c37,896$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,252.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+940.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes58c37,776$21,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,032.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5838…6912backed Yes11c35,500$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,5951100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf811…69babacked No42c35,056$14,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,723.52333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7acebacked Yes39c34,934$13,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,266.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913d…498bbacked Yes57c34,829$19,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,976.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No58c34,521$20,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,037.529659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaad1…b418backed Yes58c34,000$19,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,280450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes16c33,859$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,558.552814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Yes37c33,500$12,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,049.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc841…6fcfbacked Yes59c33,416$19,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,700.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes54c33,370$17,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,385.54658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4795…0fb0backed Yes57c32,719$18,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,113.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes10c32,200$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,967.966735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked No44c31,648$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Yes7c31,250$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,906.081315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes59c31,177$18,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,921.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes32c30,859$9,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,984.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes53c30,500$16,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,3351855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes53c30,472$16,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,321.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes38c30,177$11,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,787.987140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…7ed7backed Yes53c30,057$15,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,126.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e38…e151backed Yes53c30,046$15,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,121.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes12c30,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,3003871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes13c30,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,1004100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+235.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes20c29,729$5,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,783.421729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+87.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e2…a455backed Yes17c29,146$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,107.151735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c28…45dbbacked No0c28,390$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes11c27,588$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,679.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No42c26,948$11,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,318.311843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes53c26,915$14,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,649.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.