Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x453e4a52fd6e889f4895320475971bc8ed0bc427dba6108341be6abea5660c6e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,326,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,326,283 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	8c	254,936$21,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,358.81	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	8c	177,386$14,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,733.28	398	42.2%168 W · 230 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	9c	130,938$11,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,784.38	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	3c	108,094$3,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,558.34	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+11.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	9c	100,000$9,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,064.31	112	18.8%21 W · 91 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes	9c	81,703$7,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,353.26	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes	11c	54,209$5,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,963	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes	8c	50,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	10c	47,087$4,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,808.67	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	4c	41,604$1,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.82	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	2c	40,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	2c	39,646$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.63	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	10c	39,021$3,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,898.79	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	3c	34,830$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.61	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	10c	31,611$3,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,046.91	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+156.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	2c	26,869$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.43	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes	11c	22,720$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.2	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes	10c	22,500$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	2c	20,735$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	5cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Yes	12c	20,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+150%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328a…30c9backed Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	9c	19,819$1,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,783.75	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	9c	18,867$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656.21	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Yes	8c	18,155$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.36	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	9c	15,875$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.24	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes	9c	15,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.98	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes	11c	15,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	9c	14,816$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.57	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-62%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed Yes	8c	13,225$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+123.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes	12c	12,700$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbadd…2564backed Yes	8c	11,947$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	5c	11,823$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.11	173	22%38 W · 135 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b31…754abacked Yes	10c	11,600$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	11,521$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.52	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes	10c	11,250$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	4cpaid	+404.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	2c	10,770$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.86	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…63c1backed Yes	12c	10,333$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes	9c	10,000$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.7	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+94.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes	10c	9,790$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	9,317$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.13	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes	9c	8,763$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.67	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd572…22efbacked Yes	2c	8,300$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x853b…475bbacked Yes	1c	7,449$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x223a…7664backed Yes	12c	7,026$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+79%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…4c9ebacked Yes	3c	6,750$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf083…22b0backed Yes	2c	6,500$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	7c	6,500$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.1	102	37.3%38 W · 64 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc4…821ebacked Yes	2c	6,379$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	7c	6,227$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.19	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes	3c	6,118$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.86	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61df…c8cfbacked Yes	9c	5,995$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.5	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	5c	5,966$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.14	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f1…c78bbacked Yes	10c	5,574$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.14	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes	9c	5,540$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.8	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34ce…8180backed Yes	2c	5,050$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes	9c	5,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Yes	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	11cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Yes	0c	5,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	9c	4,891$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.22	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ef…1c54backed Yes	2c	4,750$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	3c	4,697$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.24	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes	10c	4,583$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.31	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60a…b45ebacked Yes	2c	4,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…880abacked Yes	8c	4,320$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.4	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089d…f731backed Yes	2c	4,233$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	8c	4,200$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	25	4%1 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	10c	4,198$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.79	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fe…7a83backed Yes	12c	4,167$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f2…0dfdbacked Yes	2c	4,136$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	2c	4,050$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.1	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	9c	3,939$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.51	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes	2c	3,919$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.72	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d51…22ffbacked Yes	9c	3,878$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…952fbacked Yes	2c	3,848$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f22…7dafbacked Yes	2c	3,774$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…6754backed Yes	2c	3,770$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3e…96acbacked Yes	2c	3,770$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	10c	3,750$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.71	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-50%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…89bbbacked Yes	10c	3,620$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes	2c	3,500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes	10c	3,500$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d86…08d1backed Yes	2c	3,460$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f29…3b36backed Yes	2c	3,424$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Yes	9c	3,407$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.61	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	8c	3,374$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.69	129	21.7%28 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes	11c	3,339$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.77	37	27%10 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…e2fabacked Yes	2c	3,338$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30f1…0af3backed Yes	2c	3,274$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f03…f3bbbacked Yes	3c	3,193$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4866…0724backed Yes	10c	3,190$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f74…97b6backed Yes	1c	3,153$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes	9c	3,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	2c	3,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	2,987$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.54	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event