Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb06319aa9e029904c93c1df7d10b7ce7d6aab2b25b8f661e0cf57ea048a1567

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,660,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,852,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,660,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	3c	563,950$19,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,095.48	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	5c	422,287$21,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,691.44	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Yes	3c	270,108$9,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,151.3	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	6c	261,672$16,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,792.85	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	4c	181,854$6,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,929.74	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Yes	4c	169,709$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	42cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	6c	154,216$8,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,618.99	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-62%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes	2c	139,244$3,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,424.12	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+10.6wins	+0.18per pick	31cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	2c	118,870$2,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,441.44	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	2c	100,101$2,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	5c	88,401$3,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,990.22	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes	8c	87,095$6,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,683.15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	5c	79,419$4,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,363.96	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	77,927$3,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,574.11	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	11c	77,776$8,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,177.35	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	4c	70,000$2,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,596.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	3c	69,423$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,783.18	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	3c	69,086$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850.01	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes	9c	66,842$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	29cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes	4c	66,133$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475.48	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	4c	63,318$2,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,822.61	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes	5c	60,961$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	4c	60,796$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.84	175	60%105 W · 70 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	5c	60,405$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085.23	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes	2c	60,344$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Yes	12c	56,599$7,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,047.06	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3811…8f61backed Yes	4c	55,650$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	2c	54,348$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.42	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes	11c	51,815$5,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,765.68	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	3c	50,743$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.44	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7316…4686backed Yes	2c	50,142$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	9c	49,980$4,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,248.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	4c	48,587$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.96	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-47%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes	11c	45,861$5,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,036.84	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	3c	44,250$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.52	173	22%38 W · 135 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	5c	40,667$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.75	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+11.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes	4c	40,387$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	6c	40,369$2,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,246.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	2c	39,978$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.5	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	39,725$1,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.33	79	24.1%19 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes	2c	39,635$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.9	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	2c	39,171$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.45	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	2c	38,465$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.52	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	8c	37,778$3,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,098.34	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes	9c	36,950$3,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,273	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x210c…d6c1backed Yes	5c	36,293$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,788.37	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.36per pick	35cpaid	+161.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…f2ddbacked Yes	8c	34,724$2,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,903.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	2c	34,050$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.35	25	4%1 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes	6c	34,028$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,109.91	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	2c	33,636$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.27	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes	2c	32,252$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.21	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	12c	30,000$3,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,540	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes	7c	28,557$2,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,134.78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes	10c	28,166$2,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,705.95	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes	11c	26,769$2,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,917.23	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes	7c	26,350$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,842.96	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	5c	26,274$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes	8c	26,041$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,204.02	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Yes	2c	25,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes	3c	24,539$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.29	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	5c	24,378$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.43	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes	4c	22,806$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.83	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	21,942$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes	3c	21,764$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	5c	20,679$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.88	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes	4c	20,637$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.97	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0190…8ddebacked Yes	7c	20,287$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Yes	9c	20,240$1,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes	2c	20,086$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.71	108	45.4%49 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes	11c	20,000$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.98	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes	5c	19,337$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.21per pick	42cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	4c	19,206$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.68	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	5c	18,927$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.68	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes	2c	18,500$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.85	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	3c	17,913$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…b881backed Yes	8c	17,857$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.48	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365e…4f9fbacked Yes	6c	17,508$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes	11c	17,014$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.59	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+176.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce03…5608backed Yes	3c	16,674$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.41	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes	2c	16,671$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.08	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	3c	16,500$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.5	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	3c	16,426$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.9	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes	2c	15,995$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.32	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes	12c	15,593$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+112.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes	4c	15,591$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…5806backed Yes	7c	15,243$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes	11c	15,132$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.58	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	30cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Yes	4c	15,000$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	36cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe78d…a1ebbacked Yes	8c	14,770$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,117.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes	3c	14,164$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.11	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Yes	5c	14,156$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes	5c	14,141$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2f…87b8backed Yes	11c	13,800$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa2…9593backed Yes	2c	13,500$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x020d…398ebacked Yes	7c	13,464$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x998e…2136backed Yes	2c	13,432$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.74	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe925…bb3abacked Yes	6c	13,144$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes	3c	13,113$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.95	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes	5c	13,003$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.94	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aba…8262backed Yes	2c	12,980$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event