TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,440,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,772,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,440,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c358,994$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.6166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes0c349,998$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c295,430$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.366817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c261,922$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.772828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes0c203,064$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.17458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c188,212$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9511916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c155,231$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.910419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c139,293$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.59303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c133,512$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.015512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c88,303$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.611816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Yes0c73,000$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c65,500$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18817322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes0c63,805$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.221010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c60,435$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.61160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c55,809$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.85160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c48,595$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.57254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c45,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c40,924$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.54160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c40,050$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c40,002$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.34160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes0c40,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick6cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes0c40,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c39,783$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.35140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c2…8aecbacked Yes0c36,950$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes1c35,795$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.57205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c34,306$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.93160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c34,244$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.49140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1601…ed94backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes0c33,150$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.63122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c31,517$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.62150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c30,969$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c30,855$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.13160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c30,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes1c30,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes0c26,666$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.33205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c26,015$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.59160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c24,088$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.44150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…678ebacked Yes0c24,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7270%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c23,736$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.69160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c21,688$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.38160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes0c20,433$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096b…f1a5backed Yes0c20,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c19,839$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes0c17,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes0c16,980$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.96120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73a…542cbacked Yes0c16,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes0c16,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes0c15,926$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes0c14,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes0c13,955$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b17…7990backed Yes0c12,452$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes0c12,311$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c12,248$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.73160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c12,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-88.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf816…412dbacked Yes0c12,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes0c11,970$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c11,132$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.26160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c11,123$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c11,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d222backed Yes0c10,303$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c10,301$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…41b2backed Yes0c10,147$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.29130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c10,111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c10,043$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…7438backed Yes0c10,023$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.05150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf78…ffc5backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f0…e4cabacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+229.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…6600backed Yes1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+299.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec99…786fbacked Yes1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe86e…ed2ebacked Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes0c9,783$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c9,031$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…ce7dbacked Yes1c8,933$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb662…1d6fbacked Yes0c8,667$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed Yes0c8,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes0c8,472$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468e…110cbacked Yes0c8,387$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee35…cca1backed Yes1c8,140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x899d…c30dbacked Yes0c7,492$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f1…c759backed Yes0c7,479$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd051…10babacked Yes0c7,447$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca4…6916backed Yes0c7,123$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes0c7,094$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.383831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5efb…c22abacked Yes0c7,084$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500e…5692backed Yes1c6,861$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031f…9f35backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d8…7750backed Yes0c6,272$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3785…6978backed Yes1c6,133$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b5…c1febacked Yes1c6,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+256.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61e…794cbacked Yes0c5,720$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.