TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,082,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,450,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,082,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c296,537$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.2411916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c65,907$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.1610419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c50,309$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1217322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c49,620$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.465512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes1c47,760$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.081526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf721…dc00backed Yes5c43,219$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb81…4e1fbacked Yes2c40,598$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c37,999$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.996817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c37,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes1c33,608$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3b…acd3backed Yes1c30,909$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c21,618$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.01333%1 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes1c21,560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.696735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes3c18,117$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.731827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Yes1c13,529$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.312564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes0c13,380$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.691020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes3c12,748$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.341717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes1c11,648$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.192520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…0ae2backed Yes2c10,500$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1e…f4f3backed Yes2c10,285$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes3c10,220$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.35825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb37…2bf1backed Yes2c10,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…9593backed Yes1c10,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes2c9,463$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.04205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c9,114$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.31205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes2c8,799$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.245939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x291c…90c0backed Yes2c8,506$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.23128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes1c7,700$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.913935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2c…1494backed Yes2c7,700$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3258%2 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…96aebacked Yes1c7,688$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-65.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd312…e85cbacked Yes1c7,320$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5850…156cbacked Yes2c7,270$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.48520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa646…7616backed Yes1c7,143$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes3c6,827$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.09616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick4cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes2c5,555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764c…6e81backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes2c5,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-79.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5716…203abacked Yes1c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c4,704$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.627924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c4,572$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.511877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…8743backed Yes2c4,556$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.33128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+348%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb273…f1a1backed Yes2c4,500$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…2755backed Yes1c4,483$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes2c4,267$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.266428.1%18 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes2c4,018$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.81315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-52.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes1c4,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4faf…740cbacked Yes2c4,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+363%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes1c4,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccc…10c2backed Yes1c4,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c3,754$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7313048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x434d…3774backed Yes3c3,609$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…32f3backed Yes2c3,551$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.92140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc904…ca06backed Yes3c3,358$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes1c3,254$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes1c3,039$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.99263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae8d…d91bbacked Yes1c3,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba9e…47bdbacked Yes1c3,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3180%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cb…9346backed Yes2c3,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe257…d60fbacked Yes2c2,999$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.99210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8357…a098backed Yes1c2,769$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2571…e9f7backed Yes0c2,713$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…4d43backed Yes0c2,641$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes2c2,630$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.976240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…6600backed Yes2c2,580$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.34119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+299.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes1c2,520$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Yes3c2,439$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bee…b5a7backed Yes1c2,386$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa191…7946backed Yes2c2,342$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes2c2,230$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.531741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fdc…06b4backed Yes1c2,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c2,184$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.825525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c6…1acfbacked Yes1c2,099$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7686…2295backed Yes1c2,040$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a3…0abebacked Yes1c2,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22a…8d23backed Yes2c2,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…8052backed Yes1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f6…2046backed Yes1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+308.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes2c1,996$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9212921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf78…ffc5backed Yes2c1,982$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes2c1,915$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010149.5%50 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca0…18e2backed Yes3c1,898$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…a8a9backed Yes3c1,837$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes1c1,777$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.01911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c1,719$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.25110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ace…98e6backed Yes3c1,714$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes1c1,673$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.088339.8%33 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8b5…6253backed Yes2c1,662$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes1c1,510$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fb…470ebacked Yes1c1,503$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…cbf5backed Yes2c1,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f9…7d78backed Yes1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb296…e73cbacked Yes1c1,478$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef57…123ebacked Yes1c1,450$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Yes1c1,430$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd75…e7dabacked Yes1c1,400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.