TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ad4…fdc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
275
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+519.1%+$181.64
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+467.6%+$110.81
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+366.3%+$60.05
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+310.5%+$37.82
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$43.33
Football.Fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+131%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.72
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,239.3%+$371.76
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,427.8%+$428.32
Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+809.1%+$121.35
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will XRP reach $2.40 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.19
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Will Solana dip to $120 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will XRP reach $2.50 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$31.37
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+65.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$202.2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+733.3%+$168.88
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+278.9%+$69.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+57.4%+$38.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+89%+$11.3
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+51.3%+$25.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$78.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.91
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.66
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+57.8%+$19.05
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.78
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+239.2%+$71.37
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.88
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
US forces enter Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.04
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.31
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65.63
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+71.9%+$17.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$526.25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.67
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.58
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+180.3%+$71.66
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+216.1%+$125.08
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$121.35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+363.7%+$171.47
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$63.95
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+147.1%+$370.81
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-84.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovicbacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.21
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensikbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.79
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Australian Open Men's: Yosuke Watanuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.33
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+84%+$29.16
Australian Open Women's: Sijia Wei vs Elvina Kalievabacked Wei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.17
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Subasic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$57.72
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.87
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.16
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$29.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.9%+$20.92
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.51
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.21
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69.64
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.97
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+378.4%+$41.6
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+87%+$31.47
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$129.8
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+322.4%+$102.87
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.54
Will SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+157.8%+$114.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+422.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+134%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+368%+$42.7
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+275.1%+$41.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.