La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e096ea370c6f0d6d2dd6424be705bbd838a4e4b1ab49cd136f4d872b6c6ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 4,561$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.31 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 3,419$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.17 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 65c | 3,127$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.36 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,688$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 18c | 1,429$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 35c | 1,170$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 9c | 1,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.31 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Yes | 6c | 797.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 796$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 531$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 64c | 509.38$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 35c | 508.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 38c | 372.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 64c | 331.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 318.94$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 18c | 278.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 261.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 34c | 248.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Yes | 18c | 214.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 199.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 27c | 187.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 67c | 149.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 62c | 136.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 18c | 136.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 34c | 120.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Yes | 18c | 113.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 49c | 94.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 51c | 88.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 35c | 83.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 40c | 82.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 30c | 82.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 65c | 74.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 64c | 62.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed No | 72c | 56.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 35c | 56.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 54.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked No | 37c | 42.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 67c | 37.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 37.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 31.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed No | 66c | 28.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 78c | 26.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 73c | 25.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 65c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed No | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-12?Yes won
- Will SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.