TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58c5…deee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
Australian Open Women's: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gaobacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+157.7%+$90.1
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+99.9%+$30.22
Australian Open Women's: Diane Parry vs Elena Pridankinabacked Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18.21
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Vukicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65.4
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Australian Open Women's: Anhelina Kalinina vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29%+$17.74
Australian Open Men's: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Martin Landalucebacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+46.4%+$15.59
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Giustino vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Australian Open Men's: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.78
Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+218.6%+$25.59
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.71
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.5%+$12.53
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.74
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.62
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.18
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.47
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.4
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+236.6%+$67.49
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+243%+$92.01
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100.4%+$22.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-65.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37.9%+$4.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.27
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+138.1%+$35.47
Counter-Strike: Washington vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+72.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Barnsley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.63
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+102.9%+$49.44
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Jackky and friends (BO3)backed PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+84.7%+$107.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.