TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolster Challengersof T1 Academy, KT Rolster Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T1 Academy22c8,314$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.131,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f1…9f40backed T1 Academy51c5,409$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.0960%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked KT Rolster Challengers50c5,083$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.74045%18 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked KT Rolster Challengers57c4,480$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.022,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed KT Rolster Challengers49c4,013$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.973,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed T1 Academy49c2,920$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.0545041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1822…0e6abacked T1 Academy11c2,688$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.36437%3 W · 40 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked T1 Academy49c1,965$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.7884041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a4…c4aabacked T1 Academy18c1,752$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked T1 Academy29c1,750$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked T1 Academy55c1,704$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2818258.8%107 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed KT Rolster Challengers52c1,557$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked T1 Academy52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed T1 Academy5c1,471$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.326346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed KT Rolster Challengers55c1,453$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.4420438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed KT Rolster Challengers47c1,304$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9910030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked T1 Academy10c1,300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed T1 Academy27c1,218$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2369041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed T1 Academy53c1,208$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64080832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked KT Rolster Challengers48c1,100$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.3329536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed T1 Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed T1 Academy49c850$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41650547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed KT Rolster Challengers46c799.97$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.991,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked KT Rolster Challengers50c748.13$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.133542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked T1 Academy37c683.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3110560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed KT Rolster Challengers68c671.98$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8386758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed T1 Academy48c487.01$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed T1 Academy46c480$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed KT Rolster Challengers44c457.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.314139%16 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed KT Rolster Challengers57c442.67$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.974344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked T1 Academy33c430.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.791723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked KT Rolster Challengers60c422.88$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.522763%17 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed T1 Academy21c421.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8518741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed KT Rolster Challengers49c406.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4718945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed T1 Academy40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16045739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed T1 Academy3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3429.5%4 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed KT Rolster Challengers79c362.21$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2112661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed KT Rolster Challengers78c352.47$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed T1 Academy23c348.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3112433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed T1 Academy58c333$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7520764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked T1 Academy61c328.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011830.5%36 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed T1 Academy51c323.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9940232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked T1 Academy34c304.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9923023%53 W · 177 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed T1 Academy50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa037…2b2cbacked T1 Academy50c297.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed T1 Academy49c269.92$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9140347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed T1 Academy50c260.45$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7554944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T1 Academy39c250.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed T1 Academy52c250.19$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.699745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed KT Rolster Challengers78c240$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.974462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed KT Rolster Challengers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7735035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed KT Rolster Challengers42c206.96$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6239239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked T1 Academy39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed KT Rolster Challengers73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5426865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked KT Rolster Challengers50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9528855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b27…a815backed T1 Academy53c188.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked T1 Academy7c176.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328211%31 W · 251 L-19.9wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed KT Rolster Challengers57c175.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1828458.5%166 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked T1 Academy15c173.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.373957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed T1 Academy55c169.91$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4557947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked T1 Academy28c155.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked KT Rolster Challengers56c155.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.321,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked KT Rolster Challengers78c148.21$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.213847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked T1 Academy10c143.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed KT Rolster Challengers68c139.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0175342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed KT Rolster Challengers77c129.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.763161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed T1 Academy54c128.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed KT Rolster Challengers48c124.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9418656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed T1 Academy22c121.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60f…74dabacked KT Rolster Challengers44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eed…2f6ebacked T1 Academy56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked T1 Academy59c110$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.912454%67 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed T1 Academy49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015354.2%83 W · 70 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked T1 Academy46c100.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4619168.6%131 W · 60 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9f6…f506backed T1 Academy54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed T1 Academy16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed T1 Academy51c97.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c1…28f7backed T1 Academy53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked KT Rolster Challengers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9121840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed T1 Academy38c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.676028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed KT Rolster Challengers53c55.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed T1 Academy42c52.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed T1 Academy23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.518633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5624…b5c4backed KT Rolster Challengers45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8928851%147 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T1 Academy42c45.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.192,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked T1 Academy41c38.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.782,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed T1 Academy51c38.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed KT Rolster Challengers61c38.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed KT Rolster Challengers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7422747.6%108 W · 119 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x912a…d30bbacked KT Rolster Challengers76c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.612171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x390c…7701backed T1 Academy45c34.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed T1 Academy51c33.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1821857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1301…cd9abacked T1 Academy65c30.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf932…1ba3backed T1 Academy48c29.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.362751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d13…f684backed KT Rolster Challengers42c28.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed T1 Academy54c26.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5143542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed T1 Academy43c25.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked KT Rolster Challengers58c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d76…39bebacked KT Rolster Challengers52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed KT Rolster Challengers80c19.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9438334.2%131 W · 252 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.