TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa58f…fd67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
349
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT26346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 263 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winnerbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.53
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winnerbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$137
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.92
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.5
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$145.35
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$226.6
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winnerbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$97.35
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$40.25
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$439.68
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$34.17
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked New Meta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked New Meta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28%+$74.38
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.79
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+36%+$100.21
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$311.57
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61%+$256.22
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.27
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 263 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.5
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winnerbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$34.1
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$29.84
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$50.11
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.72
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59.68
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78%+$43.4
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66.16
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.82
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.82
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.75
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$70.37
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$19.14
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.47
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+114.4%+$14.94
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+27.2%+$14.71
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ALLINNERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$25.97
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Abacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.8
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.99
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.36
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$115.98
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63.71
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+80.1%+$105.04
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+165.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+32.9%+$3.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions - Map 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25.1%+$9.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.