CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc783aec2ae49dbbce6e98e6c5cde2473f807ac6cf6a995d4949660458c5af7a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KOLESIE | 76c | 1,688$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed los kogutos | 20c | 1,086$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…7e0fbacked los kogutos | 33c | 610.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…fababacked KOLESIE | 80c | 446.91$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked los kogutos | 24c | 432.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed KOLESIE | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed KOLESIE | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed los kogutos | 13c | 107.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…6633backed los kogutos | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed los kogutos | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…d823backed los kogutos | 32c | 44.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed KOLESIE | 45c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…5b81backed los kogutos | 35c | 30.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed KOLESIE | 74c | 21.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed KOLESIE | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed KOLESIE | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.