TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d9b…faba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.17
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.98
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$130.81
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.79
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.75
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$42.47
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$58.2
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$42.94
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$48.72
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$68.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.47
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.48
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$106.76
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$28.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$15.93
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.6%+$91.51
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+48.4%+$96.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$135.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$187
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.39
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.25
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76.93
Hofstra Pride vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$35.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$23.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.