Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f39056758ac6269d6d24bc6127326d7330840a478e8be4a7e4bc0db7765b398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Vici Gaming, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 7,293$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.44 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,400$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,638$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.49 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Vici Gaming | 4c | 1,084$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 742.62$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.08 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 702.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 700$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 432.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 367.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 305.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 260.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 254.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 223.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 219.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 209$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…fababacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 205.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Vici Gaming | 10c | 202.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 178.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 124.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 122.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 116.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 114.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 113.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 99.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 95.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 65.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 61.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 50.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 50.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 46.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…6ff1backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 32.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 23.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.