Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5b46043b2937f97bb2b52a3501a36db1ef61ad8b8b1066fba6f49358615b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Vici Gaming, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9772…4867backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 9,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 5,955$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.72 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 4,214$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.4 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 2,538$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.67 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 2,222$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 2,174$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 1,456$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,278$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.2 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 1,108$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.74 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Vici Gaming | 6c | 1,094$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 874.54$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.44 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 813.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 796.83$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 789.85$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 775.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.14 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 771.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.76 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 686.35$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 615.48$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 577.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 549.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 522$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 515.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 507.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 463.08$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 430$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 400$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 375$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 360.93$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 345.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 311.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 298.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 293.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 284.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…9117backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 272$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 264.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 253.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 240.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 239.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 239.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 235.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 215.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…1362backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 197.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 185.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 179.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 172.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 171.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…0b35backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 169.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 169.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 166.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 161.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 159.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 149.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 147.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 140.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 135$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 134.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…3629backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 128.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…60cbbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 118.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 112.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 109.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 105.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 104$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…cb4dbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 103.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 102.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…653ebacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 99.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 88.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…cc2ebacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 87.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 86.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 82.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…607cbacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…5d57backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 77.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…bfdcbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 76.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 75.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 70.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 68.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 66.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…4aeebacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 61.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 59.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 58.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 56.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…6f23backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 55.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 55.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.