TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6af1…b0f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bryant Bulldogs vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$64.22
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.63
Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-12.5)backed Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.6%+$9.93
Charleston Cougars vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+109.9%+$21.98
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$20.13
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.89
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18.02
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+98.4%+$32.04
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-17.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.63
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxesbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+95.7%+$12.26
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+102.5%+$14.73
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+45.1%+$13.31
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+86.9%+$17.39
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$63.09
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.71
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+80%+$15.99
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.7
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+39.7%+$17.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.21
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Favbet (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.9%+$8.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38%+$5.71
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.8
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.5%+$12.29
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.17
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.38
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+52.6%+$10.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.5%+$5.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.