Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48dd6d4347d763597040169ad234fbe44e056c99c0ecfcd83030df2d740588de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 318,096$172,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,847.84 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 120,000$56,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,400 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 32,500$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 45c | 29,120$13,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,103.82 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 25,930$13,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,187.14 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 49c | 23,061$11,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,298.66 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 10,326$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.83 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 47c | 8,530$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,419$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 936.17$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 855$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.85 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 679.08$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.85 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 546.87$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 53c | 361.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 292.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 51c | 236.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 45c | 220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 138.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Under | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 116$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 48c | 113.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 112.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 51c | 98.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 71c | 70.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 64.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 54c | 60.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 58.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…793dbacked Under | 47c | 52.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…6b4fbacked Under | 47c | 52.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked Over | 57c | 43.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 50c | 42.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 48c | 41.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 47c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 36.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 50c | 34.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 48c | 32.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…9ddcbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Under | 49c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 50c | 22.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…32dcbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5this page
- Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State BroncosBoise State Broncos won
- Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 133.5Over won
- Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-22.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-23.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.