TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e80…32dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+59%+$7.05
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.21
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$16.12
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.97
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.6
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.32
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+106.5%+$10.83
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+32.5%+$3.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.12
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.56
Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-10.5)backed Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.81
Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-3.5)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+98%+$9.9
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+115.1%+$11.77
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Capitals vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+94.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+82.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.