TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Dolphinsof Jacksonville Dolphins, Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$941,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$957,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $941,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c649,575$318,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,484.1335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c431,754$219,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219,276.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jacksonville Dolphins49c218,638$108,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,509.521754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c150,000$76,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,50089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c99,892$50,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,945.139860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c35,012$17,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,680.7290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels53c20,417$10,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,771.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6503756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,140850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c12,084$6,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162.9821262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Jacksonville Dolphins49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c2,600$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32614647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c2,073$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.1512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels54c1,182$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2814854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c1,103$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2716954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels52c700$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3621250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c668.43$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.435959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels53c611.96$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.3455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c460$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.616051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jacksonville Dolphins47c368.72$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.421,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels53c355$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13557248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c245$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.510049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c241.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.614266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c217.39$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.78750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c202.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.735444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins46c197.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.774660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels53c187.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.513444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c121.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.224153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c118.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.826450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins49c100.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.712850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5727955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Jacksonville Dolphins51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c97.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.212341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins61c82.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.026154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4062753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c76.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0519653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c75.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.64951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c66.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2611858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6270…2a87backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Jacksonville Dolphins30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebab…9ddcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c56.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.493745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c49.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.913473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels52c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9231666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c44.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c43.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6212560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels53c39.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.863366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x890d…1f64backed Jacksonville Dolphins60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…b0f1backed Jacksonville Dolphins60c32.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.892055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c30.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.249257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Jacksonville Dolphins49c21.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.821850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.215763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e80…32dcbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd6…6532backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels52c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.