Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59933afdcf29a0143fbc5d401adf82cff5c7ee69a9f69c6a143876253bcb30d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 608,377$316,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,351.08 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Over | 48c | 249,500$119,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,740 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 39,907$19,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,770.51 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 7,247$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 3,909$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.62 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 53c | 2,573$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,780$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 50c | 797$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 51c | 507.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.61 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 50c | 492$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 47c | 350.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 298.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Over | 61c | 213.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 50c | 129.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 49c | 56.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…2b8bbacked Over | 50c | 42.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 49c | 38.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Over | 50c | 33.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 141.5this page
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville DolphinsJacksonville Dolphins won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-1.5)Jacksonville Dolphins won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)Jacksonville Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.