TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe174…f74b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78
LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38.38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$59.2
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$46.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$101.99
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$61.5
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$96
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+76.2%+$86.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+189.2%+$124.3
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: RED Canids vs LOUD (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$103.49
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$64.5
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$88.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+203%+$100.5
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Counter-Strike: SIXSEVEN vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+138.8%+$98.8
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+157.2%+$103.9
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+166%+$106.1
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+203%+$100.5
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77.2
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+167.2%+$118.9
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs BIG (BO3) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Playoffsbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+407.4%+$113.49
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 777 (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO5) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$102
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs STATE (BO3) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.99
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$106.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$79.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$70.5
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Burnley FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$73.49
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$137.49
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$19.74
Will Southampton win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+106.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs strongboys (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked strongboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+150%+$44.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+164.9%+$101.99
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Dota 2: (monkey) Business vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$81
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$105
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs strongboys (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked strongboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+566.7%+$255
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Dbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$105
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+186.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.99
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$64.97
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$331.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$79.49
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$40.5
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$93
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$129.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$4.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria beat Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.