Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria beat Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2d253a0956fdbcc56b0d9963ef2358fb21f217aff4a6a7f5a90c94143e2c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 48c | 6,261$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.45 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,793$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 50c | 2,520$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.13 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.97 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 53c | 2,346$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.63 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 51c | 1,975$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…676fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,361$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 49c | 1,126$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…6f43backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 51c | 776.72$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.13 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…b625backed No | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 49c | 646.94$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…d2abbacked Yes | 47c | 541.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 48c | 518$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…c699backed No | 53c | 494.34$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…824fbacked Yes | 48c | 432.42$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 67c | 418.62$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…bbe5backed No | 53c | 384.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…2193backed Yes | 48c | 369.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…2c30backed No | 53c | 284.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…4319backed No | 53c | 278.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f90…153dbacked Yes | 47c | 278.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 50c | 243.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…02b2backed Yes | 47c | 230.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…2603backed No | 53c | 230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…361cbacked Yes | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…2a26backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…b066backed Yes | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed No | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 77c | 170.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…f359backed Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38f…8ebfbacked No | 53c | 151.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b5…17f5backed Yes | 47c | 149.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…31dbbacked No | 55c | 131.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…57edbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9911…d9acbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 53c | 90.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…cde3backed No | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…81cebacked Yes | 47c | 83.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…b88abacked Yes | 47c | 81.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…0ababacked Yes | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…657bbacked Yes | 47c | 54.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked No | 53c | 43.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked No | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed No | 54c | 35.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…3821backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…945ebacked No | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…dac8backed No | 54c | 28.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria beat Norway?this page
- Will Norway beat Austria?No won
- Will the match between Austria and Norway end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.