Fifa International · resolved market
Will the match between Austria and Norway end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ddcdd33e76164f88156aebff1b2a98e86d1dd6e4b09adbda715d74a8d96265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed Yes | 0c | 12,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…aad4backed Yes | 29c | 589.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…8d9ebacked No | 74c | 466.35$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…065dbacked No | 73c | 455.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 26c | 435.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 70c | 388.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked Yes | 29c | 229.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 26c | 139.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…f6b5backed No | 74c | 137.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…76c6backed Yes | 29c | 127.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…4efdbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…940ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…11a9backed No | 73c | 30.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…dffebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Austria and Norway end in a draw?this page
- Will Austria beat Norway?Yes won
- Will Norway beat Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.