Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3a1476aff184fc85ed056fe37482edec0d49bfb994d4addcf49ef8ed7dc08f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsof Bethune-Cookman Wildcats, Jackson State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 50c | 151,585$75,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,795.74 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 101,321$50,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,647.38 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Jackson State Tigers | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 48c | 679.96$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.58 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 616.82$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 570$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 51c | 247.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Jackson State Tigers | 56c | 239.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 190$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 46c | 188.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 157$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 136$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jackson State Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5822backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-8.5)this page
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman WildcatsBethune-Cookman Wildcats won
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 156.5Under won
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)Bethune-Cookman Wildcats won
- Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-9.5)Bethune-Cookman Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.