TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsof Bethune-Cookman Wildcats, Jackson State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$464,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats48c464,041$221,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242,703.0835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Jackson State Tigers52c329,200$171,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,1842653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jackson State Tigers53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,00030249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jackson State Tigers53c12,500$6,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,62590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Jackson State Tigers53c10,085$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,345.1121262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jackson State Tigers53c9,935$5,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.25,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jackson State Tigers53c1,496$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.1112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jackson State Tigers52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats43c221.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jackson State Tigers53c208.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.651,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Jackson State Tigers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jackson State Tigers53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.124,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jackson State Tigers60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7234649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jackson State Tigers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.116450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7259…620cbacked Jackson State Tigers55c44.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.742065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Jackson State Tigers55c36.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Jackson State Tigers57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.919653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Jackson State Tigers54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.