Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f837d8b73295c3625d4804d86a5e20a4dc3a7f19dab16fd724d6d80a406cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 514,770$265,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,760.98 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 48c | 330,695$158,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,961.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 28,227$13,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,354.12 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.94 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 17,500$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,488$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 52c | 1,877$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.22 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 51c | 980.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.75 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 52c | 560$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 502.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 49c | 203.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 104.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 80.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 49c | 35.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 52c | 29.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 51c | 26.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 157.5this page
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman WildcatsBethune-Cookman Wildcats won
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)Bethune-Cookman Wildcats won
- Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-8.5)Bethune-Cookman Wildcats won
- Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-9.5)Bethune-Cookman Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.