TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$739,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$777,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe255…bb37backed Yes55c329,131$179,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,927.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c85,378$40,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,428.591,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c72,162$34,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,719.7671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c49,535$22,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,244.0813348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c41,807$19,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,303.2962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes52c28,050$14,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,690.816942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes52c27,889$14,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,502.392638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes50c25,575$12,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,691.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c20,193$9,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,805.1452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No51c15,000$7,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,357.255040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c14,201$6,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,747.8935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c13,034$6,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,011.4787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No50c11,944$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.5215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No46c11,811$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,436.182536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes51c11,786$5,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,969.595330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No46c11,439$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,177.061838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.936454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No48c9,174$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.73756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No71c6,942$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No50c6,120$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c6,105$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.551,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c5,826$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.3835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes48c5,565$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.3360%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked No53c5,200$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.3821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c3,980$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No51c3,456$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No48c3,270$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.423240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6205060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6206060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No45c2,717$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.252347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c2,534$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3259355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0755538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No56c2,117$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.315942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No48c2,069$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3212738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c2,069$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.9828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes54c1,983$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.3111355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Yes53c1,850$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes53c1,669$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.5717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c1,665$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.5814452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes46c1,535$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes1c1,308$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No55c1,283$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.7737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No45c1,279$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.8629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No45c1,218$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.0419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes53c1,210$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.517549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No46c1,209$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.861145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No47c1,143$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.53944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.837741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No52c1,000$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No46c961.76$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.928942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes50c891.71$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.065757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes50c819.3$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.364362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No46c800$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6710545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4326756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No51c783$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.673135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No46c746.52$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.713745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes43c655.76$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes53c650$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.52642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Yes32c625.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes54c616.67$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3336119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed No50c603.1$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No49c597.87$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No47c596.73$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.273951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes37c533.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes49c531$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1926346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No50c530$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No49c527.94$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.052857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No46c486.28$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23712147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No46c420$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes48c415$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed No51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No51c390.63$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.226046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes50c390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes27c375.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No53c350$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.51850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No49c311$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes23c307.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.341741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.