Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004737feb89959a43e2881fe6894efb448372682d2babdfaeb6d36a781e5e3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 10,593$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.56 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 10,296$7,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.14 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 23c | 3,913$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 24c | 3,794$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 2,222$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.49 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 77c | 1,718$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.03 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,664$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.72 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,396$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,318$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 1,150$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.46 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 755.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 16c | 730$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 699.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 17c | 599.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 540.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 30c | 536.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 78c | 422.43$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 420$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 396.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 334$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 25c | 245$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 21c | 224.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed No | 80c | 219.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 74c | 211$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 17c | 164.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 154.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 23c | 114.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Yes | 23c | 113.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 13c | 111.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 17c | 96.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 15c | 80.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 72c | 66.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 64.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 63.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…06b8backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 51.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 27c | 46.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked No | 75c | 22.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…b419backed No | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 77c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.