NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ab55ffa13f6db8e57d399ea90d4efa108e4ea3ebe8254b8dd711ce0300a44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,224,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,308,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,224,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers | 53c | 334,691$177,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,304.59 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Bulls | 47c | 270,063$126,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,929.64 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bulls | 47c | 158,650$74,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,565.59 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Lakers | 52c | 79,521$41,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,844.04 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Lakers | 53c | 65,000$34,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,550 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Bulls | 50c | 51,545$25,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,772.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Lakers | 53c | 50,000$26,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,699.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bulls | 48c | 38,025$18,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,252 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 48c | 34,207$16,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,389.01 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bulls | 48c | 33,800$16,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,086 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 7c | 30,410$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.38 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Bulls | 47c | 30,000$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,200 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 63c | 29,208$18,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls | 4c | 27,903$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.51 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lakers | 52c | 26,000$13,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,479.99 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 10c | 25,144$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 30c | 25,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Lakers | 53c | 24,176$12,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,362.69 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Bulls | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bulls | 48c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.22 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…cf66backed Bulls | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd527…42e5backed Lakers | 52c | 19,213$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,222.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 53c | 19,017$10,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.24 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 21c | 18,913$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Bulls | 49c | 18,884$9,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.15 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 25c | 17,887$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.8 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls | 47c | 17,231$8,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,098.57 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Bulls | 47c | 17,043$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,010 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d07…1752backed Bulls | 49c | 16,608$8,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,138.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 62c | 16,029$9,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.64 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564c…014cbacked Lakers | 51c | 15,686$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 53c | 15,100$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,164.98 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 37c | 15,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…e678backed Bulls | 49c | 14,993$7,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,327.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 52c | 13,335$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,402.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…8a8fbacked Lakers | 51c | 12,881$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 51c | 12,730$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.7 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Bulls | 47c | 12,500$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…f009backed Bulls | 49c | 12,367$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 73c | 11,655$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Bulls | 1c | 11,390$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bulls | 22c | 11,355$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.37 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 48c | 10,710$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bulls | 26c | 10,395$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.68 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Lakers | 51c | 10,023$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.1 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Lakers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Bulls | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 49c | 10,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Lakers | 52c | 10,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Lakers | 52c | 9,969$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.9 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 53c | 9,964$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 52c | 9,727$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…8e37backed Bulls | 48c | 9,690$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Bulls | 43c | 9,634$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.67 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 52c | 9,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 52c | 9,181$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 28c | 8,879$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Bulls | 50c | 8,044$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.99 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Lakers | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 30c | 7,606$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.33 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bulls | 16c | 7,340$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.94 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Lakers | 66c | 7,307$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.56 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers | 51c | 7,000$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 53c | 6,877$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Lakers | 51c | 6,767$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.83 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Lakers | 63c | 6,585$4,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.79 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Lakers | 51c | 6,501$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.49 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Bulls | 49c | 6,500$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.32 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Bulls | 47c | 6,348$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.76 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bulls | 7c | 6,003$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bulls | 47c | 5,957$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Lakers | 51c | 5,945$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.29 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 5,820$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lakers | 50c | 5,782$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.76 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Lakers | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 52c | 5,600$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.26 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 47c | 5,295$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…77c2backed Lakers | 50c | 5,256$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Lakers | 51c | 5,222$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 3c | 5,186$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…97e5backed Bulls | 49c | 5,144$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Bulls | 48c | 5,066$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…d6fdbacked Bulls | 48c | 5,037$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lakers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Bulls | 49c | 4,971$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.63 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…862fbacked Bulls | 49c | 4,851$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…d618backed Lakers | 50c | 4,740$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…6de8backed Lakers | 52c | 4,699$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…b477backed Lakers | 52c | 4,656$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Bulls | 47c | 4,642$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.57 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Bulls | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 27c | 4,108$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 4,028$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…a64dbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,934$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Bullsthis page
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.