NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46cdc2cb0866caeea4eefa8805dc295a835a07986de236838ff8cea18d635e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20f7…c804backed Over | 47c | 80,000$37,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,399.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 24,068$12,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,549.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 48c | 16,075$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.01 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Under | 51c | 9,775$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 6,767$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.63 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 54c | 5,967$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…be14backed Under | 47c | 5,352$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 4,652$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.03 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 2,589$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…75d4backed Over | 53c | 1,946$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,883$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…cc54backed Over | 53c | 1,809$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…b223backed Over | 53c | 1,597$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,308$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Under | 53c | 1,293$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,092$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 48c | 1,052$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 836$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.72 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 715$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 700$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 666.78$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 50c | 603.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 536.88$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.21 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 54c | 520$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 53c | 511.38$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 53c | 430.21$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 53c | 352.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 53c | 348.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 48c | 283.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 268.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 248$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 234.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 53c | 224.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Over | 46c | 203.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under | 53c | 200.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 53c | 189.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 48c | 177.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Under | 53c | 171.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…062dbacked Under | 53c | 169.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 53c | 162.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 53c | 154.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 48c | 142.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 53c | 138.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 53c | 132.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 53c | 126.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 53c | 119.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 50c | 110.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4dcfbacked Under | 53c | 101.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 84.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Under | 53c | 81.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a1…0746backed Under | 53c | 81.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Under | 53c | 75.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…843ebacked Under | 53c | 74.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Under | 53c | 59.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Under | 53c | 57.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…0579backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 53c | 52.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 48c | 50.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 52c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 44.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 53c | 43.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…1941backed Under | 53c | 40.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…47eabacked Under | 53c | 40.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 50c | 40.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5this page
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. BullsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.