NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb913435565b2e993539e224b629f071d51835495551df609ccccfcd09f448930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Bulls | 50c | 54,828$27,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,366.05 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lakers | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 16,875$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,380.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…9ee0backed Bulls | 50c | 11,256$5,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,628 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Bulls | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…d6aabacked Bulls | 50c | 9,552$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 50c | 8,604$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 7,712$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 48c | 6,947$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f627backed Lakers | 49c | 6,806$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…445dbacked Bulls | 51c | 6,800$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 50c | 5,950$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 52c | 5,217$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lakers | 50c | 5,166$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 51c | 5,038$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7e0dbacked Bulls | 50c | 4,755$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 50c | 3,741$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls | 50c | 3,593$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.07 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 51c | 2,928$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f41…a4bdbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Lakers | 50c | 2,091$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.56 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 50c | 1,962$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 45c | 1,699$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…09acbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,686$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bulls | 49c | 1,272$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.8 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…3a51backed Lakers | 50c | 1,254$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…24cdbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,101$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…ee98backed Lakers | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Bulls | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 49c | 988.76$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca91…823bbacked Lakers | 48c | 886$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Bulls | 50c | 843.45$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.33 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 49c | 797.41$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.73 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 49c | 776.47$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…8ad0backed Lakers | 48c | 731$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Lakers | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bulls | 50c | 602$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Bulls | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Bulls | 51c | 588.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bulls | 53c | 517.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 52c | 499.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Bulls | 25c | 485.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bulls | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50a…902abacked Bulls | 52c | 410$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Bulls | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e9…2bb4backed Bulls | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a39…1286backed Bulls | 52c | 355$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Bulls | 50c | 314.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bulls | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Bulls | 50c | 298.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…6b66backed Bulls | 52c | 287$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…3b28backed Bulls | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Bulls | 50c | 270.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Bulls | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Bulls | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…8e46backed Bulls | 52c | 255$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…6763backed Bulls | 52c | 255$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Bulls | 63c | 246.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…dcfbbacked Bulls | 52c | 244$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Bulls | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5f…ec33backed Bulls | 52c | 221$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Lakers | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 49c | 206$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Bulls | 49c | 204.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 50c | 200.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Bulls | 51c | 196.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Bulls | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Lakers | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bulls | 11c | 163.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…cf30backed Bulls | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Bulls | 49c | 152.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Lakers | 48c | 152$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Bulls | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Bulls | 51c | 140.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Bulls | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Lakers | 50c | 129.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Lakers | 50c | 124.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 46c | 123.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Lakers | 49c | 122.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Lakers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Bulls | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bulls | 32c | 111.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Lakers | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)this page
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. BullsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.