NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41bffcbcd835bd86b5baa7f81f81a4cb9d60bd6f1ecb506dc0beefd1740a8657

Rebuilt 51 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Over	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.99	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	10,556$5,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,116.87	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under	47c	9,811$4,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,607.12	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9d…e062backed Under	50c	8,410$4,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,205	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…d6aabacked Under	49c	6,722$3,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,294	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…ea0abacked Under	49c	5,714$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	49c	5,306$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	49c	3,863$1,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.73	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	3,182$1,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.04	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	48c	2,795$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,341.46	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	49c	2,653$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	1,055$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.84	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	50c	733.04$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.52	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Over	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	57c	363.47$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.78	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	47c	292.25$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.6	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	5c	287.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over	53c	280$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.6	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	44c	279.77$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.91	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	53c	263.36$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over	51c	215.69$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.69	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over	51c	174.22$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.37	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	80c	158.17$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.04	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over	73c	137.66$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.66	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	130.55$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.07	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over	52c	102.08$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb620…6e5cbacked Over	50c	87$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Over	52c	74.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.99	532	50.4%268 W · 264 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c2…9970backed Over	68c	50.75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	463	48.4%224 W · 239 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	53c	49.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Over	53c	39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcc…48cfbacked Over	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	63c	20.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	50c	20.39$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc498…a396backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event