NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f655b34ce673187202e1c33954353e2c69dc44dcf043f6139dc61740df94e1

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $96,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,243 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	51c	26,134$13,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,914.85	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	25,970$12,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,956.48	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	49c	19,999$9,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,299.67	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	49c	10,209$5,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,002.54	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.92	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	49c	9,200$4,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,507.99	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…1ccbbacked Under	52c	5,852$3,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,043	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	49cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7759…3a51backed Under	45c	5,578$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39f2…cc54backed Under	45c	5,287$2,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.15	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e4…6a78backed Under	45c	5,095$2,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,292.75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9d…e062backed Under	52c	4,637$2,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,411	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	52c	3,152$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.33	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over	54c	2,398$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.3	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	53c	2,132$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.17	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x508f…24cdbacked Over	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3498…75d4backed Over	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf23f…437cbacked Over	55c	1,889$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.05	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.4wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f41…a4bdbacked Over	55c	1,853$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.85	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	1,831$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.81	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba03…be14backed Over	55c	1,768$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae0…7e0dbacked Over	55c	1,725$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf99…4e5bbacked Over	55c	1,632$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	51c	1,600$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fc…821abacked Over	55c	1,574$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…b223backed Over	55c	1,519$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.55	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	50c	1,400$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	1,304$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.3	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under	53c	1,066$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82c3…19cabacked Over	49c	883$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	815.98$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.15	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	48c	719.3$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.46	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	52c	680$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.6	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	51c	611.76$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	49c	564.24$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.54	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	50c	558$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	70c	541.66$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under	47c	319.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.39	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c68…1befbacked Under	51c	318$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	49c	317.94$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.79	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over	51c	317.65$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.65	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d03…1a3dbacked Under	51c	288$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x266f…52e7backed Under	51c	277$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under	50c	266$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	50c	252.62$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.31	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over	51c	234.51$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.91	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cb…3111backed Over	56c	216.64$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.32	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	51c	204.08$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.08	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…7e16backed Under	51c	200.79$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	29c	155.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	50c	125.32$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb620…6e5cbacked Over	48c	96$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.92	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over	53c	94.56$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.55	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over	49c	93$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.43	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+10.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over	48c	67$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.84	93	60.2%56 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Over	49c	53$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.03	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	50c	51.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under	49c	51.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	51c	50.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	46c	41.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.67	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-6.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	46c	31.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	51c	30.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	487	40.7%198 W · 289 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Under	52c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	50c	28.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.39	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under	51c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	157	58%91 W · 66 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over	48c	26.18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.61	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over	54c	25.53$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over	62c	25.15$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+9.2wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Under	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over	54c	24.07$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.07	197	48.2%95 W · 102 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Under	51c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Under	51c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Under	51c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcb…b296backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event