NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed11426962c72ee680ea19e9eb00cda7bc2b86d6af34f6385cff2fae90b6e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 46c | 18,630$8,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,142.79 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 11,594$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 4,510$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 53c | 3,366$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.09 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 2,867$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,425$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 706.51$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 520$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 17c | 518.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 13c | 452.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 364$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 5c | 352.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Under | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 47c | 298$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Under | 37c | 262.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 8c | 251.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 244.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 5c | 230.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Under | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Over | 57c | 219.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 190.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 21c | 140.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 43c | 138.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 127.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 107.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 23c | 79.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 72.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Under | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 55.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 48.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 45.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 44c | 39.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Under | 41c | 36.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 48c | 35.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 50c | 31.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Under | 53c | 30.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 25.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…aadcbacked Under | 57c | 22.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 53c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5this page
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. BullsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Over won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.