Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecbb7178261e45c45a2d40f3ba28f7b90da88f208a43e3c8f0bd9f7d69900ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 12c | 3,796$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.89 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PlayTime | 1c | 3,727$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 2,531$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.35 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PlayTime | 11c | 1,915$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,512$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed PlayTime | 29c | 1,370$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.16 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 1,350$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PlayTime | 25c | 1,172$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed PlayTime | 30c | 699.94$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 588.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PlayTime | 31c | 511.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed PlayTime | 31c | 443.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked PlayTime | 29c | 335.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…60a2backed PlayTime | 17c | 294.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 284.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 283.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 219.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed PlayTime | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…c2a1backed PlayTime | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked PlayTime | 19c | 159.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked PlayTime | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 149.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 138.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed PlayTime | 10c | 111.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed PlayTime | 28c | 84.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked PlayTime | 30c | 63.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 63.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 50.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…fc07backed PlayTime | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…a501backed PlayTime | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed PlayTime | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed PlayTime | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked PlayTime | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…fcf6backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 25.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.